Tonight's match at the Stadio Olimpico presents a compelling narrative, pitting a Roma side vying for Champions League qualification against a Genoa team whose primary concern is avoiding relegation. While the disparity in ambition might suggest a straightforward contest, recent fluctuations in Roma's form and injury concerns add an element of unpredictability to the fixture. Roma's primary advantage lies in their formidable home record. Data from Whoscored indicates that Roma have impressively won 16 of their last 18 home matches against Genoa. Furthermore, they boast one of Serie A's most robust defences, conceding just 10 goals in 16 matches this season. Despite the absence of key players such as Pellegrini due to injury, coach Gasperini's strong record against Genoa provides a boost in confidence. Roma's recent form has been inconsistent, with five wins, two draws, and three losses in their last ten matches across all competitions. Their home performance has been strong, securing six wins, one draw, and one loss in eight league matches, averaging 1.7 goals per game. Their attacking system, built around a 4-3-3 formation, has shown multiple threats, with players like Belotti in good form. However, defensive stability has wavered, with only one clean sheet in the last five rounds. A suspended left-back and Pellegrini's uncertain participation create potential vulnerabilities in their attacking and defensive coordination. Genoa's form has been poor in their last ten matches with three wins, three draws, and four losses, increasing their relegation pressure. Their away form has been particularly weak, described as a 'defensive black hole' with one win, two draws, and five losses in eight away games, conceding an average of 1.75 goals per match. The suspension of their key central defender further exposes defensive weaknesses. Their attack primarily relies on Retegui, and while they adopt a 5-4-1 defensive counter-attacking approach, their counter-attacks are inefficient, and their physical condition is insufficient, having conceded nine goals in their last five away matches.