Burnley haven't tasted victory since late October. Under the management of Vincent Kompany, Burnley endured a seven-match losing streak throughout November and much of this month. However, the club's mood will be more optimistic following two consecutive draws before this match. These draws have reduced the gap to Nottingham Forest in 17th place to five points, even though they are currently 19th in the league with only 12 points. Burnley will be keen to build on their recent improvements, but they need to solve their offensive issues to seize opportunities. Let's analyse whether the data for this match is reasonable. As Newcastle United have only one away win this season, and given Burnley's two consecutive draws, the -0.75 handicap is within a reasonable and fairly sufficient range. European data with odds below 1.65 already anticipate an away win. The difference in strength is undeniable; Burnley drew against Bournemouth, who have been experiencing many issues recently, and Everton, who are not a strong team. Today, facing Newcastle United is not the same level. Newcastle United recently lost to Manchester United, and we should not expect them to offer even more demanding data. This data is fine, and we can choose Newcastle United to win based on their quality. Prediction: Away - Newcastle United -0.75

*For reference only, not betting advice
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