Leicester City host Derby County in what promises to be a tightly contested Championship match. Examining the data, Leicester City’s recent form is mixed, with losses against Watford and QPR, yet they have also demonstrated attacking prowess, scoring multiple goals against Ipswich Town and Derby County themselves in their last encounter. Their home form, while not exceptional, does provide a slight edge. Derby County, currently positioned just above Leicester in the league table, present a resilient challenge. Their recent away form includes a convincing win against Sheffield Wednesday and draws against Birmingham City and Portsmouth. However, their earlier defeat to Leicester City in December suggests vulnerabilities that Leicester could exploit. The odds slightly favour Leicester, reflected in the match odds and Asian handicap. The -0.25 handicap suggests bookmakers anticipate a close game, but give Leicester a slight advantage. Given Leicester's goal-scoring potential and Derby's tendency to concede, I predict a narrow win for the home side. Considering the teams' scoring records, with both teams averaging over a goal per game, I expect an over 2.25 goals outcome.
*For reference only, not betting advice
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