This analysis focuses on set-piece effectiveness to predict the outcome of the Leicester City vs. Derby County match. We'll examine recent form and key statistical indicators to understand potential advantages in corners, free-kicks, and aerial duels. Leicester City's recent form shows a mixed bag, with a loss against Watford and a draw against Bristol City, yet three wins. Derby County's form has been inconsistent, demonstrating the ability to score, but also some defensive vulnerabilities evident by the recent results, specifically the away form. **Corner Kick Analysis:** Leicester City’s recent games indicate a decent conversion rate from corners. The ability to win key headers and direct these towards goal is often a critical factor. Derby County, in contrast, may struggle defending set pieces, potentially conceding goals from these situations. It is key to note that the Home team recent performances have been a bit up and down and needs to be improved. **Free-Kick Opportunities and Conversion:** Leicester City has a good record and conversion ratio from free kicks. It suggests a team that is adept at creating and capitalising on set-piece opportunities near the box. Derby County must be cautious about conceding fouls in dangerous areas. Derby might be more susceptible to conceding goals through direct free-kicks. **Aerial Duels and Set-Piece Defence:** A critical factor in set-piece effectiveness is the ability to win aerial duels. Leicester City, with their potentially stronger squad, may have a clear advantage in winning these duels, especially in the central defensive areas. Derby County might struggle to cope with the aerial threat, potentially allowing Leicester City to score from crosses or long balls into the box. **Prediction Rationale:** Considering the set-piece advantages and the stronger home record of Leicester City, I predict Leicester City to win the match. The data suggests that Leicester City will likely score at least two goals, including from set pieces. With Derby County's tendency to concede, I anticipate an 'Over' on goals, exceeding 2.25 goals. The Asian Handicap -0.25 on Leicester is reasonable, favouring a home win scenario. The predicted match result is a home win (Leicester City win).