This analysis focuses on the upcoming Saudi Professional League match between Al-Riyadh and Al-Hazm. Both teams are positioned in the lower half of the table, making this a crucial encounter for both sides. Looking at the league standings, Al-Riyadh is currently 15th with 8 points, while Al-Hazm is 11th with 10 points. Al-Riyadh's recent form shows a struggle to find consistent results, with losses against Al-Ettifaq and Al-Ittihad. Al-Hazm's recent form mirrors this inconsistency, with draws against Al-Feiha and Al-Ettifaq. Considering the recent forms and the historical head-to-head data, a draw seems like a plausible outcome. The head-to-head record between these two teams suggests a history of closely contested matches. Out of the ten previous encounters, the majority have ended in draws. The goal difference is a factor, Al-Riyadh has a goal difference of -11, and Al-Hazm's is -6, highlighting defensive frailties in both teams. Considering this data, the Asian Handicap is predicted to be a draw. This reflects the expectation of a closely fought game. Based on this data, the win_draw_loss prediction is a draw. Considering the recent defensive performances and the head-to-head history, the probability of a high-scoring match appears low. The over/under market is set at 2.5 goals. Given the teams' scoring records and the tendency towards draws in their past matches, the 'under 2.5 goals' option seems more probable. Our model indicates a win chance for Al-Riyadh at 38%, while Al-Hazm at 39%, with the draw chance being as high as 23%. Considering the close odds and the data, we predict that this match will likely have Under 2.5 goals.
*For reference only, not betting advice
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