Analysing the Tactical Battle: A Deep Dive into Algeria's Home Advantage Against Burkina Faso in the Africa Cup of Nations, Considering Recent Form and Historical Head-to-Head Records

Algeria's recent home form has been impressive, boasting seven wins, two draws, and only one loss in their last ten matches. Their winning rate stands at 70%. They also recently secured a significant victory in the Africa Cup of Nations, winning with a clean sheet. Their attack has been prolific, scoring multiple goals in their last ten games, while their defence has been solid, conceding few goals on average. However, the initial European/Asian handicap opened with Algeria at a -0.5 goal advantage. This seems odd when considering their history against Burkina Faso, where Algeria has only won once in their last five meetings, with three draws. As a team that has won the Africa Cup of Nations twice, they might be expected to have a stronger advantage against Burkina Faso, who have never reached the World Cup final. A further point of note is that the probability of over 2.5 goals in Algeria's last ten matches is 50%.