Casa Pia AC, currently 15th in the Liga Portugal, finds themselves on the brink of the relegation zone. Their recent league form shows a record of one win, two draws, and two losses. At home, they've struggled, managing only one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five matches. Their attack has been faltering, averaging only 0.7 goals per game at home, while conceding 1.4 goals per game. Key defender Fernandes is fit, and they typically employ a defensive 5-4-1 formation, focusing on counter-attacks. Vitoria Guimaraes, positioned 8th in the league, has shown solid form with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their recent matches. Away from home, their record is two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five games. They average 1.3 goals scored and 1.0 goals conceded per away game. Silva, their core midfielder, is available, and they utilise a 4-3-3 formation with an emphasis on possession-based attacking football. In their last six encounters, Casa Pia AC has one win, two draws, and three losses against Vitoria Guimaraes. Casa Pia AC is fighting to avoid relegation, while Vitoria Guimaraes is aiming for a spot in European competitions. This match will likely see Casa Pia AC's defensive counter-attacking tactics clashing directly with Vitoria Guimaraes' possession-based approach. Vitoria Guimaraes' possession-based tactics are considered a 'disassembler' of Casa Pia AC's dense defense. Silva's passing accuracy is at 88%, and his precise through balls and wide-ranging passes can easily expose gaps in Casa Pia AC's 5-4-1 defensive line. Vitoria Guimaraes' wingers' speed is a direct threat to Casa Pia AC's full-backs, who are slow to track back, and Vitoria Guimaraes' pressing intensity has increased by 20% in recent away games, causing errors in Casa Pia AC's build-up play. Casa Pia AC's players are under pressure due to the relegation battle, leading to increased fouls, which could provide Vitoria Guimaraes with opportunities from set-pieces. Vitoria Guimaraes' greater motivation to secure a European spot, along with their superior attacking coordination, gives them a significant advantage, and they are expected to win the match.
*For reference only, not betting advice
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