Sporting CP demonstrates a superior offensive performance compared to Rio Ave. Sporting CP's offensive finishing rate in the last 5 matches reaches 16.8%, exceeding Rio Ave's 9.3%. Their expected goals (xG) efficiency is 1.17, ranking third in the league, in contrast to Rio Ave's 0.89 (12th in the league). Sporting CP's key pass success rate is 42%, 12 percentage points higher than their opponent. They also show greater penetration ability, with a passing value of 0.78 times per 90 minutes in the final 30 meters. Sporting CP controls the midfield with a 58%-42% advantage and completes the first pass in an average of 12.3 seconds, 1.7 seconds faster than their opponent. Their total running distance averages 112.4 kilometers, and they have 28 high-intensity sprints, surpassing their opponent. Sporting CP's defensive capabilities are noteworthy, with an average of 14.2 interceptions per match (5th in the league). Their interception success rate is 68%, and their clearance success rate is 81%, both superior to their opponent. They also have a high offensive conversion rate of 29%, which is 14 percentage points higher than Rio Ave, and an xG difference of 0.48 (1.35 vs 0.87). In their last three historical encounters, the total goals scored have exceeded 3.5. Sporting CP's rapid transition and high-pressure pressing style create more scoring opportunities, while Rio Ave's backfield error rate of 14.6% (4th highest in the league) increases the risk of conceding goals. The xG model predicts a total expected goal of 2.98 in this match. Prediction: Over 3.5 goals.
*For reference only, not betting advice
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