Italian Serie A match between Bologna and Sassuolo. Bologna's recent attacking efficiency has been low, with a conversion rate of only 8.3% over the last 5 games, significantly below the league average of 12.1%. Sassuolo, on the other hand, boasts a conversion rate of 14.5%, demonstrating a higher xG efficiency. Key pass success rates also favour Sassuolo, with 62.3% compared to Bologna's 48.9%. Furthermore, Sassuolo's midfield control stands at 56% versus Bologna's 44%, and their transition speed is notably faster. Sassuolo's running stats also show a higher intensity, with a greater number of high-intensity sprints. Sassuolo excels defensively, ranking among the league's top five for tackles, interceptions, and clearances. Their defensive error rate is only 2.3%. Sassuolo's xG efficiency is also superior to Bologna's, with 0.92 per 100 minutes against Bologna's 0.78. They have a higher scoring opportunity conversion rate, 28.6% compared to their opponent's. Based on xG, Sassuolo has an expected goals advantage. Considering the handicap of +0.75, Sassuolo, with its defensive and offensive data advantages, is recommended to cover the spread.
*For reference only, not betting advice
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