A detailed analysis of the Liga Portugal 1 match between FC Arouca and Gil Vicente reveals significant statistical disparities. FC Arouca demonstrates a superior attacking conversion rate (14.7%) compared to Gil Vicente (9.2%). Their expected goals (xG) efficiency reaches 1.05, ranking third in the league, significantly outpacing Gil Vicente's 0.78. FC Arouca's key pass success rate (61.2%) leads by 12 percentage points, with a front-court pass value of 0.89 per attempt, surpassing their opponent's 1.4. Midfield control favors FC Arouca (57.3%), along with a quicker transition speed (3.2 seconds) and greater running distances and high-intensity sprints. Despite Gil Vicente's advantage in total interceptions and tackles, their clearance error rate is 12%. FC Arouca's defensive strategy, involving high-press tactics, effectively reduces their opponent's attacking effectiveness. FC Arouca's recent scoring chance conversion rate (38%) is 15 percentage points higher, supported by a higher xG average (2.1 vs. 1.4) and a minimal deviation between actual goals scored and xG, indicating efficient finishing. The recommendation is: FC Arouca +0.5.