A detailed analysis of the upcoming Liga Portugal 1 match between Casa Pia AC and Vitoria Guimaraes. Casa Pia AC's recent attacking performance shows a conversion rate of only 8.3% over the last 5 games, ranking 14th in the league, with an xG efficiency of 0.78, below the average of 0.95. Vitoria Guimaraes boasts a key pass success rate of 72.4%, ranking 3rd in the league, with a high value of 1.35 in passes within the final 30 meters, ranking 2nd. Furthermore, Vitoria Guimaraes has improved its midfield transition speed to 3.2 seconds, ranking 5th in the league, with an average running distance of 108km per match, and 23 high-intensity sprints, ranking 6th. Casa Pia AC's defensive errors, with a clearance error rate of 18%, rank 17th in the league. Additional statistical analysis reveals Vitoria Guimaraes' defensive strength. They average 14.3 tackles per game and 9.1 interceptions, both placing them among the top five in the league. Their clearance success rate is 81%, ranking 3rd. Vitoria Guimaraes' attack opportunity conversion rate is 15.6%, ranking 4th. Although their xG average is 1.12, their actual goals scored are 0.96, highlighting the impact of defensive limitations. Considering the total xG for both teams is 1.98 (average of 1.85 over the last 3 games), the recommendation leans towards a low-scoring game given the over/under line of 2.0, with a 72% probability for the under. The recommendation is Under 2.0 goals.
*For reference only, not betting advice
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