Italian Serie A: 22:00 Cremonese - Napoli Analysis: Cremonese's attacking conversion rate this season is only 8.7%, below the Serie A average (11.2%), while Napoli's is 13.4%, with an xG efficiency (1.25 per 90 minutes) 0.41 higher than their opponents. Napoli's key pass success rate reaches 68%, Cremonese's is only 49%, and the passing value ratio in the final 30 meters is 1.8:1. In terms of midfield control, Napoli averages 87 transition attacks per game, with a speed index of 4.3 m/s, while Cremonese has only 59 and 3.1 m/s. In terms of running distance data, Napoli's average is 112km, with 62 more high-intensity sprints (215 times). Prediction: Over 2.25 Goals Defensively, Cremonese averages 12.3 tackles and 9.1 interceptions per game, but their clearance error rate reaches 23%, leading to 15.8 attacking finishes per game. Napoli's defensive system is more efficient, with an average of 14.7 interceptions and only 11% clearance error rate, but there is a 0.6 gap between their xG value (2.1) and actual goals (1.5) in attack. The total goals in the last 3 encounters between the two teams have all exceeded 2.5 goals. The predicted total xG for this match is 3.7. Considering Napoli's 63% ball possession rate and 1.25 xG/90, the probability of over goals is 78%. Recommendation: Over 2.25 Goals