Last night's Chelsea vs. Aston Villa match provided an interesting case study. Despite data strongly favouring Chelsea, the obviousness of the advantage felt suspicious. This encouraged us to back Aston Villa, which paid off. Today's match presents a similar scenario. Sunderland, with eight more points and decent recent form, should ideally be offering a 0.25 handicap at home. However, the game is opening with a 0 handicap. This prompts us to consider whether this is an intentional undervaluation by the data providers, or a genuine reflection of their expectations. Unlike the Chelsea game, where the data seemed inflated without context, this match has a narrative driving it. Leeds United's recent performances—a win against Chelsea, a draw with Liverpool, and a significant victory over Crystal Palace—have established strong momentum. This creates a basis for fans to doubt Sunderland's chances. Therefore, Sunderland's data isn't as convincing as it might initially appear. Sunderland's recent form, including home wins against Newcastle and a draw with Arsenal, is also good. Given this, the 0 handicap at home suggests insufficient support for Sunderland. I would lean towards Leeds United to maintain their strong form. Prediction: Away win for Leeds United.