Indonesia Super League Match Preview: Analysing the Tactical Battle Between Madura United and Semen Padang Based on Key Performance Indicators and Statistical Data Ahead of Kick-Off

Madura United's offensive efficiency is noteworthy, with an 18.3% conversion rate on finishing attacks this season (ranking 4th in the league), significantly higher than Semen Padang's 14.1% (10th in the league). Furthermore, Madura United boasts a superior xG efficiency value of 1.21 per finishing attack, compared to Semen Padang's 0.98. In terms of key pass success, Madura United achieves 72.4%, with a forward pass value of 0.43 (Opta standard), leading Semen Padang's 65.8% and 0.31. Madura United's midfield control is also prominent, with an average of 60.3% possession and 14.2 successful attacking transitions (68% success rate). In contrast, Semen Padang manages only 10.3 transitions with a 54% success rate. Physical data further highlights Madura United's dominance, with an average of 112km running and 235 high-intensity sprints (both in the top three of the league), outperforming Semen Padang's 105km and 192 sprints. Defensively, Madura United averages 16.3 tackles (61.2% success rate) and 8.7 interceptions, compared to Semen Padang's 12.1 tackles (53.8%) and 6.2 interceptions, showing a clear statistical advantage. Clearance data also favours Madura United, with an average of 12.4 clearances at an 89% accuracy, while Semen Padang achieves only 9.6 clearances at 82% accuracy. In terms of attacking efficiency, Madura United's xG average is 1.8 compared to Semen Padang's 1.1. However, the total goals in the last 5 encounters between the two teams have not exceeded 2, and Madura United's home under goals rate is 63%. Considering an xG total of 2.9, which is below the league average of 3.2, and the odds dropping to 2.25, the defensive data advantage is more trustworthy. Prediction: Under 2.25 goals.