Right, let's break this down. Bologna at home, facing Sassuolo. Head-to-head, Bologna has the edge. Recent matches show a clear trend: Bologna's been the more consistent side. Their home form, factored with Sassuolo's injury woes, suggests a clear advantage. The odds reflect this, but we're not just looking at numbers; we're talking about discipline and execution. Sassuolo has key players out, a real blow to their attacking threat. Bologna, on the other hand, look well-drilled and capable. The Asian Handicap at -0.5 for Bologna is a solid play. They should win this. Over 2.5 goals seems likely given both teams' tendencies and recent match results. Bologna's winning and scoring record against Sassuolo suggests goals. Therefore, my prediction is a Bologna win with over 2.5 goals.