This analysis delves into the upcoming Indonesia Super League match between Madura United and Semen Padang, focusing on set-piece performance to predict the game's outcome. The provided match data indicates a close contest, reflected in the odds. Madura United, playing at home, are slight favorites. **Set-Piece Analysis:** Set pieces, including corners, free-kicks, and aerial duels, often prove decisive in matches of this nature. Analyzing the recent form of both teams reveals potential vulnerabilities and strengths in this area. * **Corners:** While the data doesn't provide direct corner statistics, we can infer some information from goal-scoring patterns. If either team consistently scores from set pieces (including corners) or concedes due to poor marking, this provides a critical advantage. * **Free-kicks:** Free-kick proficiency is another key factor. Teams with players possessing accurate free-kick delivery or those who concede many fouls in dangerous areas put themselves at greater risk of losing. The impact of a single well-executed free-kick is considerable. * **Aerial Duels:** The ability to win aerial duels at both ends is also critical. Teams with strong aerial presence, whether in defense or attack, gain a significant advantage, particularly in deflecting crosses and converting crosses. In addition, injury data may affects the performance of aerial duels **Home Team (Madura United):** Madura United's recent form at home shows a mixed bag of results. The team's set-piece success rate is inferred by studying their goal-scoring habits and set-piece goals. Based on this, there might be a high probability of Madura winning the game. **Away Team (Semen Padang):** Semen Padang's away form indicates a team that struggles on the road. The lack of injury data on Madura United's side could be the advantage of Madura United. It may create more offensive chances and therefore, increase goals to be scored, and the chance of the over. **Prediction Rationale:** * **Asian Handicap:** Considering the home advantage and the recent form of both teams, with Madura United as a small favourite, a handicap of -0.5 for Madura United appears reasonable. * **Match Result:** Given the home advantage and more consistency in scoring goals, the prediction favors a home win. * **Over/Under:** Based on the set-piece analysis and the expectation of attacking intent from both sides, combined with the offensive capabilities of the teams, an Over 2.25 goals prediction seems likely. Even Semen Padang is in a weak performance, they can still have a chance of scoring goals. **Disclaimer:** This analysis is based on available data and form analysis. The actual match result can be affected by unforeseen circumstances and other factors.