The upcoming Indonesia Super League match between Persebaya Surabaya and Persijap Jepara presents an interesting tactical battle. Examining the defensive setups and recent form of both teams allows us to formulate a well-reasoned prediction. Persebaya Surabaya, currently sitting in a mid-table position (9th), has displayed a mixed bag of results. Their recent form reveals a tendency towards draws, with four draws in their last five matches. This suggests a relatively solid, if not spectacular, defensive foundation. Conceding 15 goals in 14 matches, their defensive record is fairly respectable. Playing at home, they will likely adopt a proactive approach, aiming to control possession and dictate the tempo. The presence of a home advantage usually bolsters a team's confidence and increases their offensive output, however, the recent form of Persebaya indicates they are not a team that is scoring a lot of goals. Their recent home games have seen them score an average of one goal. Persijap Jepara, positioned towards the bottom of the table (17th), struggles with consistency. Their away form has been particularly concerning, with a record of two wins, three draws, and nine losses. Their defense has been porous, having conceded 24 goals in 14 matches, an average of almost two goals per game. Their recent away form shows two goals scored in their last 5 matches. Their attack struggles to break down opposing defenses. Persijap's primary focus will likely be on containing Persebaya's attacks and minimizing the damage. A defensive, counter-attacking strategy seems the most probable approach. Analyzing the match odds further supports the prediction. The odds favour Persebaya Surabaya to win, with a home win at 1.57. This reflects the bookmakers’ assessment of Persebaya's superior quality and home advantage. The Asian Handicap of -1.00 in favor of Persebaya indicates a strong expectation of a win for the home side. The Over/Under market is set at 2.5 goals. Given the defensive solidity of Persebaya (especially at home) and Persijap’s struggles to score, an under 2.5 goals prediction appears reasonable. The match data indicates that Persebaya typically scores one or two goals at home. Persijap on the other hand has struggled to score more than one goal in recent away matches. Considering the recent form, team rankings, and the likely tactical approaches of both teams, the prediction is as follows: Persebaya Surabaya is expected to win, but the match is likely to be a low-scoring affair. Expect Persebaya to control the game and to score one or two goals. Therefore, the most probable outcome is a home win (1X2) and under 2.5 goals (Over/Under). Conclusion: Persebaya Surabaya is the stronger team, playing at home, with a far better form. Persebaya's recent games show a high rate of draws. Persijap Jepara has struggled defensively and has not been able to score many goals away. Considering all these factors, we expect Persebaya to win, however, we think the game will be low-scoring.