National Basketball Association
Sacramento Kings
113 - 107
Dallas Mavericks
Total Goals
Over
232.50
Under
232.50

The Kings, currently 7-23, are 15th in the Western Conference. Key players like Sabonis and LaVine are sidelined due to injuries, leaving DeRozan and Westbrook to carry the team. The Kings' three-point shooting and defensive rebounding are among the league's worst, and their defensive efficiency of 123.7 ranks 28th. The Mavericks are 12-20, placing them 11th in the West. Irving and Lively are out, and Davis is questionable. The Mavericks have a solid record in blocks and defensive rebounds, but their three-point percentage is also poor. The Kings have a 1-4 record in their last five games, with most losses by single digits, demonstrating inconsistent offense and defense. Their reliance on outside shooting and fast breaks is hampered by injuries. The Mavericks are 2-3 in their last five, also experiencing a losing streak. Their offense depends on Flag's drives and inside attacks. While their defense is better than the Kings', it's not always consistent against weaker teams. The Kings have won three of the last five meetings. They have won all three matchups this season, with two games decided by a single point, indicating a strong head-to-head advantage. Despite their overall disadvantage, the Kings often break down the Mavericks' defense with quick passing at home. The Mavericks only secured a significant win in April 2025, failing to control the pace in other matches. Both teams are affected by key injuries, leading to fluctuating form. The Kings, despite playing at home, are short-handed, limiting their offensive firepower. While the Mavericks also face injury issues, their defensive efficiency and roster are slightly superior. The total points are set at 232.5, with good confidence in a high-scoring game.

*For reference only, not betting advice
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