Chelsea hosts Aston Villa in a compelling Premier League encounter, promising tactical intrigue and likely goals. Examining the recent form and odds, a home win with over 2.75 goals seems the most probable outcome. Chelsea's recent form displays a mixed bag. While they've secured a couple of wins against lower-league and Everton, their defensive vulnerabilities were exposed against Atalanta, conceding twice. The draw against Newcastle highlights ongoing issues converting chances. Their home advantage and quality, however, should see them capitalize in front of their fans. The injury list is concerning with multiple key players out, but the squad depth should still be sufficient. Aston Villa's form shows impressive away performances, demonstrated by victories over West Ham and Basel. However, they also lost against a strong Manchester United side, indicating vulnerabilities against top-tier teams. Their recent ability to score on the road, combined with Chelsea’s recent defensive lapses, points toward goals. Villa also has a notable injury list, potentially weakening their squad. The match odds reflect Chelsea's favouritism, backed by a strong home win probability. The Asian handicap of -0.75 suggests bookmakers anticipate a comfortable Chelsea victory. The over/under line of 2.75 goals also signals expectations of a high-scoring game, which is further supported by the current attacking form of both teams. Chelsea's greater attacking depth and strong home form will make them the more threatening side. The analysis points towards a home win based on Chelsea’s strength at home and Aston Villa’s away performance. With both teams having the ability to score, the over/under goals prediction follows logically. Considering all factors, a Chelsea win with goals seems the most probable outcome.