Arsenal's recent offensive performance sees them with an 18.5% conversion rate for their final attacking plays, ranking second in the Premier League. In contrast, Brighton's conversion rate stands at a mere 11.3%, placing them 17th. The expected goals (xG) efficiency ratio favours Arsenal at 1.32. Arsenal also boasts a superior key pass success rate of 61.8% compared to Brighton's 42.1%. Furthermore, Arsenal's forward passing creates a threat once every three minutes. Arsenal controls the midfield with a 56% possession rate, significantly higher than Brighton's 44%. The Gunners also transition from losing possession to launching a counter-attack in an average of 12.3 seconds, while Brighton takes 17.9 seconds. Although both teams cover over 108km in running distance, Arsenal's high-intensity sprints account for 28% of their total running, notably higher than Brighton's 21%. Brighton averages 14.7 tackles (3rd in the Premier League) and 10.2 interceptions (5th). They also have an 82% clearance success rate, which puts pressure on opponents. Although Arsenal's xG average of 2.31 is higher than Brighton's 1.49, their actual goal conversion rate is only 68%. Brighton's defensive xG-Concede average is 1.15, with an actual conceded goal conversion rate of just 53%. In their last three encounters, the total goals scored have not exceeded 2.5. Arsenal's xG differential is +0.81, yet they have only won by a single goal. Brighton's xG differential is -0.69, but they remain undefeated.
*For reference only, not betting advice
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