A detailed analysis of the upcoming Serie A match between Torino and Cagliari. Torino's recent form shows a low shot conversion rate, with only 9.1% of shots on target resulting in goals. Their expected goals (xG) efficiency of 0.83 is below the league average of 1.05. Cagliari, on the other hand, boasts a high key pass success rate of 58%, ranking third in Serie A, and generates significant value from their forward passes, averaging 4.2 per match. Torino controls the midfield with 56% possession, but their conversion efficiency is only 0.7 times per 15 minutes. Cagliari excels in quick counter-attacks, achieving a 61% success rate. Torino has a slightly higher total running distance (107km), but Cagliari leads in high-intensity sprints with 42, indicating effective pressing. Cagliari's defence is strong, with a high number of interceptions and clearances, limiting the quality of the opposition's final attacks. Despite an impressive xG of 1.5 per match, Cagliari's actual goals scored are only 0.8, showing a lack of clinical finishing. The xG comparison reveals Torino with 1.2 and Cagliari with 1.3. The total expected goals of 2.5 only slightly exceeds the betting line of 2.25 goals, and both teams have strong defensive capabilities. Considering the past three encounters where the total goals didn't exceed 2.25, the recommendation is Under 2.25 goals.
*For reference only, not betting advice
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