Manchester City has been making headlines this week, with manager Pep Guardiola vowing to weigh his players before the trip to Nottingham Forest and threatening to exclude those returning with excessive Christmas weight. Looking at the Asian handicap, despite Nottingham Forest currently being just above the relegation zone, they are a Europa League-level team. Their previous points loss can be attributed to managerial factors, making the current handicap reasonable. We need to analyse how to make the best selection. In terms of strength, Nottingham Forest will have Nicolas Dominguez, Matz Sels, and Taiwo Awoniyi available. Although some players are away at the Africa Cup of Nations, the impact isn't significant, and their overall strength has actually increased. The European odds for a draw and a home win are relatively high, giving the impression that Manchester City is certain to win, which will undoubtedly attract market attention to the away side in the Asian handicap. If Nottingham Forest hadn't lost their last match to Fulham, this data would be quite persuasive, but given Nottingham Forest's inconsistent performances, this data appears to be a trap, suggesting an upset. I would back a Nottingham Forest side, with key players returning, to cover the Asian handicap.