Morocco vs Mali: Africa Cup of Nations Prediction

This analysis focuses on the upcoming Africa Cup of Nations match between Morocco and Mali. Based on recent form, injury information, and odds data, I predict a win for Morocco, with a high likelihood of a match exceeding 2.25 goals. Morocco's recent form demonstrates strong attacking capabilities. They've convincingly won their last five matches, scoring multiple goals in most of them. Their performances in the Arab Cup highlight their dominance, showcasing their ability to control matches and convert opportunities. While the provided data only extends to December 2025, the trend indicates a team in excellent form. Mali's recent results are less consistent. Their draws against Zambia and Jordan suggest potential vulnerabilities. While they have also shown signs of attacking prowess with wins, including a 4-1 victory over Madagascar, their form is not as convincing as Morocco's. Mali has also faced tougher opponents recently, against Ghana which resulted in a loss, suggesting they may struggle against a team as strong as Morocco. The match odds further support a Moroccan victory. The odds favor Morocco significantly, with a home win at 1.53, while a Mali win is priced at 7.00. This disparity reflects the bookmakers’ assessment of the teams' relative strengths. The Asian handicap of -1.00 for Morocco and the odds of 0.93 further strengthen the case for a win. Considering the recent performances, and the available odds, I am predicting a home win for Morocco. I also expect a high-scoring match. The over/under market has been set at 2.25 goals, with odds of 0.90 on each side. Given Morocco's scoring record and Mali’s ability to concede, an over bet looks promising. Injuries do not appear to be a major factor affecting either team’s performance. Therefore, my final prediction is a Morocco win, with the total goals exceeding 2.25. In summary, the statistical data, coupled with favorable odds, supports the case for a Morocco victory with over 2.25 goals. This prediction is made based on the objective information provided, offering a high probability of a positive outcome.