Leicester City, currently 13th in the England Championship with 31 points, faces Watford, positioned 10th with 32 points, in an upcoming match. Leicester City's recent form shows two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five games. At home, they have a record of four wins, four draws, and two losses, averaging 1.4 goals per game, with 28% of their goals coming from set pieces. Key players include Abdul Fatawu, with 6 assists, and Kelechi Iheanacho, contributing 8 goals and 3 assists. However, they will be missing centre-back Okoli and defensive midfielder Soumare. Their defence has failed to keep a clean sheet in the last 16 matches. Watford, on the other hand, is on a three-match unbeaten streak. Their away form has been less impressive, with only one win, four draws, and five losses. They concede an average of 1.6 goals per away game. The team features players like Mileta Rajovic, who has scored 7 goals, and Imrân Louza, who has 6 goals and 4 assists. Several midfielders and defenders are injured, affecting their wing play. Historically, Leicester City has dominated this fixture, winning five of the last six encounters and maintaining an eight-match winning streak at home, including a 3-1 victory in their earlier season match. The core of this match revolves around Leicester City's home advantage versus Watford's away struggles, along with the impact of injuries on both squads. Leicester City, favouring a 4-2-3-1 formation, depends on wing play and set pieces (75% success rate in aerial duels). Their home possession averages 58%, but defensive absences have led to an equal number of goals scored and conceded (31 each). Watford employs a 5-3-2 counter-attacking strategy, excelling in tackles and aerial duels. They rank fourth in the league with 310 shots but struggle with less than 45% possession on the road and average over 18 turnovers when pressed. Data indicates Leicester City's historical advantage and home strength, while Watford's attacking expected goals look promising. The match's outcome depends on Leicester City's set-piece effectiveness, Watford's counter-attacking efficiency, and how well substitutes fill injury gaps, along with defensive coordination and minimizing errors. Recommendation: Watford +0.25