Al-Fateh have had a disappointing season, accumulating only 5 points in 9 matches. Their defence has been particularly vulnerable, conceding 15 goals in the last 6 games, with an average of over 2 goals per match, highlighting significant defensive weaknesses. Facing a strong opponent, Al-Fateh are likely to adopt a 5-4-1 formation, aiming to congest the penalty area with a five-man defence and two defensive midfielders, hoping to utilise counter-attacks. Their attack relies on Salim's speed on the wings and set-piece opportunities. However, their midfield lacks creativity, with key passes below the league average. They also struggle with ball control under pressure. In their last ten matches, Al-Fateh's form has been inconsistent, with 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses. Their attack has been weak, scoring only 0.8 goals per game, and their main striker has a finishing rate below 30%. Midfield disorganisation limits support to the attack. While Al-Fateh have shown some resilience at home, they are currently on a losing streak. Their defence concedes 1.7 goals per game at home. Weak centre-back coordination and slow wing-back recovery are key issues. Six of their last 6 matches have seen few goals. Al-Ahli SFC have 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses in their last ten matches (including the AFC Champions League). Their attack averages 2 goals per game, relying on individual skills of foreign players such as Mahrez. However, they are fatigued after their midweek AFC Champions League match. With Milinkovic-Savic injured, their build-up play has slowed down. They have seen few goals in 50% of their last 6 matches, and their away defence is decent, but their finishing efficiency is inconsistent against packed defences. Recommendation: Al-Ahli SFC -0.75

*For reference only, not betting advice
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