England Championship Matchday 23 sees a crucial encounter at St. Andrew's Stadium as Birmingham City face Derby County in a battle with significant mid-table implications. With Derby County positioned 12th on 31 points and Birmingham City in 14th with 29 points, this match is a direct six-pointer, impacting their standings. Birmingham City, known for their strong home form with a record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss in 10 matches, have experienced a dip in form with 1 draw and 3 losses in their recent four games. Their attacking options are also limited with five players unavailable, placing extra pressure on Hogan. Derby County have a strong away record with 4 wins and 1 loss, relying on swift counter-attacks. However, they're hampered by the absence of key players, including top scorer Morris and midfielder Travis, impacting their attacking creativity. The match is expected to be a tactical battle between Birmingham City's home offensive approach and Derby County's efficient counter-attacking strategy. Birmingham City typically employ a 4-2-3-1 formation, focusing on wing play and set-pieces, which contribute to 35% of their goals. They aim to leverage their home advantage to end their poor run of form. Derby County is expected to adopt a 5-4-1 defensive setup, using quick counter-attacks, which account for 41% of their goals. Historical matchups favor Derby County with a record of 32 wins, 21 draws, and 23 losses. However, Birmingham City are undefeated in their last five home matches against Derby County. The key injuries for Derby County are considered more impactful. The game is likely to be closely contested with a low score predicted. The recommendation is under 2.25 goals.

*For reference only, not betting advice
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