This analysis focuses on the upcoming England Championship match between Birmingham City and Derby County, delving into the potential impact of set-pieces on the game's outcome. Set-piece situations, including corners, free-kicks, and aerial duels, often provide crucial scoring opportunities and can significantly influence a match's flow and result. Analyzing recent form, Birmingham City's home form reveals a mixed bag, with a victory against Watford but also losses. They have shown the capability of scoring at home, but also vulnerabilities. Their recent form suggests they can be susceptible to set-piece defensive lapses, which Derby County could exploit. Derby County, in contrast, shows a slightly more stable form, especially in their away games. They demonstrated strong attacking prowess in their win against Sheffield Wednesday, indicating their ability to capitalize on set-piece opportunities. Examining the match data, Birmingham City has a clear advantage at home with match odds favoring them. The Asian Handicap also suggests a slight preference for Birmingham City to win. The over/under odds suggest this will be a low-scoring match. Based on injury data, both teams have notable injuries. These absences could weaken defensive structures and potentially impact set-piece effectiveness. Considering corner statistics, Birmingham City's ability to win corners at home, and Derby County's ability to defend them effectively will be important. Birmingham's ability to convert these chances into goals will be a crucial factor. In aerial duels, Derby County's defensive capabilities should minimize Birmingham's aerial threat, especially from set pieces. The injury report could impact the aerial prowess of both teams. Free-kick statistics also have significant influence on the match. Derby's capability to defend free kicks will be tested against Birmingham's offensive ability. Free-kick conversion rates of both teams, and any specialist free-kick takers, are something to consider. Given the recent form of the teams and the available match data, including the handicap and over/under predictions, a low-scoring match with a home win appears most likely. The home advantage, set-piece efficacy, and the slightly better attacking form of Birmingham City give them an edge. However, the importance of set-piece defence cannot be overlooked, as Derby County will seek to exploit any defensive vulnerabilities. Ultimately, the outcome of this match will likely be influenced by the effectiveness of set-piece play. Birmingham City are predicted to win based on the analysis. However, it will likely be a tightly contested affair.