Birmingham City host Derby County in what promises to be a tightly contested Championship fixture. Birmingham, currently positioned slightly higher in the table, hold a marginal advantage, supported by the betting odds favouring a home win. Their recent home form, showing a win against Watford and a draw against Charlton, suggests they can capitalize on home support. Derby County, despite being close in league standings, have shown a more inconsistent form. Their recent away results, including a loss to Middlesbrough and a victory over Sheffield Wednesday, indicate potential vulnerabilities. The provided odds for an Asian Handicap of -0.50 favoring Birmingham with odds of 0.85, imply a belief in a home victory by at least one goal. This aligns with a predicted competitive match, where Birmingham's attacking edge, considering their home advantage, may be decisive. Considering both teams’ goal-scoring records and recent defensive performances, a conservative approach to the total goals market is suggested. The Over/Under line is set at 2.25 goals, and with Birmingham's goal difference being at +1 and Derby County's also at +1, backing ‘under’ seems a reasonable choice. Both teams' form suggests a game where defensive solidity might take precedence, thereby making a low-scoring encounter a plausible outcome. In conclusion, I predict a narrow win for Birmingham, with a scoreline that likely stays below three goals.