Al-Fateh currently occupies 17th position in the Saudi Professional League, struggling to secure a win recently. Their offensive and defensive performances have been subpar, averaging less than one goal per match while conceding more than two. Despite playing at home, they have failed to win in several consecutive matches, and although key players are fit, their overall form is notably poor. Their tactics focus on low-block defensive counter-attacks, but the execution has been ineffective. Al-Ahli SFC ranks 4th in the league, exhibiting consistent performance. Their attack averages nearly two goals per game, with a win rate exceeding 50% on the road. Key players are healthy, and their offensive line continues to perform well. Their tactical approach centres on possession-based attacking football. Historically, Al-Ahli SFC holds the advantage over Al-Fateh. In this match, Al-Fateh will be highly motivated to secure points to avoid relegation, while Al-Ahli SFC aims to climb further up the standings. Both teams have clear motivations. Al-Fateh's attack is extremely weak, scoring only 0.8 goals per game on average, making it difficult for them to threaten Al-Ahli SFC's defence. They are expected to adopt a defensive approach to secure their position, further limiting attacking space. Although Al-Ahli SFC has a strong attack, their efficiency in breaking down a compact defence on the road may decrease. Considering the limited threat from Al-Fateh's counter-attacks, Al-Ahli SFC does not need to aggressively push forward. Additionally, the last five encounters between the two teams have had less than three total goals. Given Al-Fateh's defensive tactics and Al-Ahli SFC's focus on controlling the pace rather than rushing the attack away from home, the match is likely to have a slow tempo and limited goal-scoring opportunities. Therefore, the likelihood of a low-scoring game is higher.
*For reference only, not betting advice
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