Birmingham City exhibits a significant 'home advantage' characteristic this season. Their home record places them sixth in the England Championship, with a remarkable 16 goals scored in their last four home games, averaging 2.5 goals per match. Their attacking prowess is formidable in front of their home fans. Derby County's overall away form is decent, but they have struggled at Birmingham City's home ground. Data shows that Derby County has lost their last five away games against Birmingham City, highlighting a significant psychological disadvantage. A major concern for the away side is the absence of their attacking key player. Their main striker, Carlton Morris (ankle injury), is confirmed out, which is a devastating blow to Derby County's attack. Without this focal point, their counter-attacks and positional play will be severely hampered. Birmingham City, having just endured consecutive away defeats, urgently needs a victory at home to reverse their slump, indicating strong motivation. They are adept at exploiting wing play and set-piece opportunities. Derby County's recent form is inconsistent, and their defence is not stable away from home, conceding nearly two goals per game in their last five away matches. Facing Birmingham City's high-pressure tactics at home, their backline will be under immense pressure. In the first half, Birmingham City is expected to attack aggressively due to their home advantage, while Derby County will focus on defence and seek counter-attack opportunities, though their threat will be limited due to the absence of their main striker. The score might remain 0-0. In the second half, as the players' stamina decreases, Derby County's defence might falter, and Birmingham City could break the deadlock through a set piece or a combination play from the flanks. After Derby County is forced to press forward, they could be vulnerable to Birmingham City's attacks.