Birmingham City have shown solid home form this season, demonstrating strong performances in both attack and defence. They've scored a total of 19 goals, conceded 14, resulting in a positive goal difference of 5, with an average of 1.9 goals per match. Their ability to control play is highlighted by an average of 5.3 corners per game, and their tactical discipline is evident with 1.6 yellow cards on average. In matches with similar home/away setups, their attack has been particularly effective, scoring 15 goals while conceding only 3, achieving an 80% win rate with no draws and only one loss. Derby County's performance this season has been more conservative but balanced overall. They have scored 18 goals and conceded 14, with a goal difference of 4, indicating a slightly lower attacking efficiency than Birmingham. They average 6.2 corners per game, showcasing a strong threat from the flanks; and with 1.8 yellow cards per match, they demonstrate a competitive approach. Against teams of similar or weaker strength, Derby County has scored 11 goals, conceded 5, and also achieved an 80% win rate, but with no draws and 20% losses. Analysing the data, the two teams show a close gap in their offensive capabilities, but a notable difference in defence; Derby County's defence is solid, however their attack is not as active as Birmingham's. Previous encounters suggest that Derby County's high-risk style could pressure Birmingham, especially in corner and free-kick situations. Birmingham needs to be particularly cautious about controlling fouls, as any mistakes in set-piece situations could provide Derby County with scoring opportunities. 12-26 20:30 Birmingham Derby County Match direction: -0.5, Birmingham win, Home