The Denver Nuggets have been in good form recently, with a 7-3 record in their last 10 games, boasting a 70% win rate. Their offense maintains a high tempo, with the total score exceeding 237.5 points in eight of their last 10 matches, including a narrow 131-130 victory against the Mavericks. Key players are consistently performing well, and their outside shooting accuracy is decent, but their defense in crucial moments still has vulnerabilities, showing fluctuations against different opponents. In contrast, the Minnesota Timberwolves' overall performance has been slightly more consistent, achieving an 8-2 record in their last 10 games, a clear advantage. The team poses a significant threat in transition, particularly when defending at home. The Nuggets' home win rate is as high as 75%, and the Christmas atmosphere will further boost the team's morale. Nikola Jokic's all-around performance with averages of 28.8 points, 13.1 rebounds, and 10.9 assists makes him the core of the team's offense. Their offensive efficiency includes 115.3 points per game and 27.5 assists, showcasing smooth teamwork. The Timberwolves rely on their star duo of Edwards (27.5 points per game) and Towns, who provide outside shooting and inside scoring. Their defensive strategy must limit Jokic's passing vision while cutting off Murray and Gordon's scoring connections. They've shown fluctuating away form recently and need to overcome the pressure of playing in Denver. Recommendation: Denver Nuggets -3