A detailed analysis of the Albania Super League match between Vllaznia Shkoder and Flamurtari is presented. Vllaznia Shkoder demonstrates a superior attacking conversion rate in their recent six matches, reaching 18.5%, surpassing Flamurtari's 12.3%. Their expected goals (xG) efficiency also stands at 0.89 per 90 minutes, outpacing their opponent by 0.21. In terms of key passing, Vllaznia Shkoder has a 58% success rate compared to Flamurtari's 42%. Additionally, they hold an advantage in terms of valuable forward passes, with a value of 0.78, which is 0.35 higher than their rivals. Vllaznia Shkoder slightly edges out in midfield control, holding 53%, despite a slower transition speed of 1.8 m/s compared to the other team's 2.1 m/s. They also exhibit superior physical fitness, outperforming their opponents by over 10% in both running distance (108km) and high-intensity sprints (127). Defensively, Vllaznia Shkoder excels, averaging 14.2 tackles, 8.5 interceptions, and 11.3 clearances per game, all exceeding their opponent's statistics by over 30%. Their offensive efficiency, measured by goals scored relative to xG, is 1.23, considerably higher than Flamurtari's 0.91. The xG comparison (2.1 vs 1.4) suggests Vllaznia Shkoder creates better-quality scoring opportunities, but their strong defense may limit their opponents' scoring ability. Considering possession distribution (Vllaznia Shkoder 47%), the xG difference, and physical advantages, a low-scoring game seems probable. The recommendation is under 2.25 goals.
*For reference only, not betting advice
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