In an upcoming Africa Cup of Nations match, Algeria faces Sudan. Algeria demonstrates a significant offensive advantage, boasting a 28% conversion rate, considerably higher than Sudan's 15%. Their expected goals (xG) efficiency also surpasses Sudan's by 0.67. Algeria's dominance is further highlighted by superior key pass success (68% vs 42%) and attacking pass value (0.85 vs 0.32). In terms of midfield control, Algeria exhibits a 59% possession rate and a rapid transition speed, averaging a change of attack/defense every 12 seconds. Sudan lags with 41% possession and an 18-second transition time. Physical metrics also favour Algeria, with a greater distance covered (112km vs 98km) and more high-intensity sprints (32 per 90 minutes vs 21). Defensively, Algeria leads in interceptions (18), tackles (12), and clearances (9), particularly excelling with a 73% low-block interception success rate. They convert attacking opportunities at a 38% rate, 15 percentage points higher than Sudan, and hold a substantial xG value lead (2.4 vs 1.1). Given Algeria's handicap of -1.25, their comprehensive offensive and defensive control suggests they will win by at least two goals. The recommendation is: Algeria -1.25.