A detailed analysis of the Thai League 1 match between Ratchaburi FC and Chiangrai United reveals key performance indicators. Ratchaburi FC's shooting accuracy is at 14%, lower than Chiangrai United's 21%. However, Ratchaburi FC's expected goals (xG) efficiency is only 0.75, below the league average of 1.2, indicating issues with the quality of their chances. Chiangrai United demonstrates a superior attacking system, evidenced by a key pass success rate of 68%, significantly higher than their opponents by 19 percentage points, and a valuable forward pass rate of 2.3 times per 90 minutes. In terms of midfield control, Chiangrai United dominates with 63% possession and a transition speed of 3.2 times per minute. They also outrun their opponents, covering 112km, 5% more than Ratchaburi FC, and completing 1.5 times more high-intensity sprints (27). Their defence is robust, with 19 tackles and 11 interceptions, providing dual protection for their defence-to-attack transitions. Chiangrai United's overall xG value of 2.1 is notably higher than Ratchaburi FC's 1.4, and they exhibit superior finishing capabilities with a conversion rate of 33% compared to 22%. Despite Ratchaburi FC's 17 clearances, nine more than the away team, Chiangrai United capitalises on high pressing, achieving six successful counter-pressures, converting defensive pressure into offensive opportunities. The advantage in running distance combined with the midfield transition speed (3.2 times per minute) allows Chiangrai United to maintain sustained pressure and conserve energy. Considering the handicap of Chiangrai United +1, their offensive and defensive efficiency, coupled with their physical stamina, fully justifies receiving a one-goal advantage. Recommendation: Chiangrai United +1

*For reference only, not betting advice
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