A detailed analysis of the upcoming Thai League 1 match between Sukhothai and Buriram United. Buriram United's attacking efficiency is notably superior, with a conversion rate of 24.3% compared to Sukhothai's 17.8%. Their expected goals (xG) efficiency also stands out, at 1.15 versus 0.78, indicating a higher quality of chances created by the away team. Key pass success rates are 41% for Buriram United and 33% for Sukhothai, showcasing Buriram United's superior ability to create threatening opportunities. Buriram United's midfield dominance is evident in their 62% possession rate, coupled with a faster transition speed, achieving a turnover every 15 seconds, significantly quicker than their opponents. Additionally, Buriram United demonstrates a clear physical advantage, covering a total distance of 108km with 68 high-intensity sprints, while Sukhothai managed 99km and 47 sprints. Buriram United excels defensively, leading in interceptions (14-9), and clearances (11-7). Their aggressive high pressing leads to a 19% increase in opponent errors. Buriram United's superior finishing is highlighted by a 38% conversion rate, 15 percentage points above their rivals. With an xG of 2.1 compared to 1.3, and a 2-0 actual score, the away team's finishing ability exceeds expectations. Based on possession (62%), xG efficiency (1.15), and sprint count (68), Buriram United are favoured to win with a -1.25 handicap, with a predicted win probability of 78%. Recommendation: Buriram United -1.25
*For reference only, not betting advice
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