Negelle Arsi Favored at Home Against Welwalo Adigrat in Tight Premier League Clash

This analysis focuses on the Ethiopia Premier League match between Negelle Arsi and Welwalo Adigrat, scheduled for December 24th, 2025. Considering the available match data and odds, we can formulate informed predictions. The match odds suggest Negelle Arsi are favorites with home win odds at 2.30, while Welwalo Adigrat is at 3.10 and draw at 2.80. This indicates a perceived advantage for the home team. The Asian Handicap of -0.25 in favor of Negelle Arsi, with odds of 1.03 for home win, further reinforces this notion, suggesting a slight expectation of a home victory. The over/under market presents a low goal expectancy with a line set at 1.75 goals. The odds of 0.88 for over and 0.93 for under, lean towards the UNDER. Considering the provided data, my prediction is a HOME_WIN for Negelle Arsi in the Match Result market, with an Asian Handicap also favoring Negelle Arsi. The expected close score line, is reinforced by the Over/Under market predicting UNDER 1.75 goals. The lower goal expectations suggest both teams may prioritize defensive solidity. The home advantage, combined with the slightly lower expected goal total, strengthens the case for a narrow victory for Negelle Arsi.