The Africa Cup of Nations match features a contest between Democratic Rep Congo and Benin. Analysis reveals significant differences in attacking efficiency between the two teams. Democratic Rep Congo boasts an 18.2% conversion rate on final shots, considerably higher than Benin's 12.7%. Their xG efficiency of 1.53 per 90 minutes, along with a non-penalty xG value of 0.85, demonstrates a consistent ability to finish chances. In terms of passing, Democratic Rep Congo's 78.4% success rate on key passes surpasses Benin's 69.2%, with a forward pass value index of 1.32 versus 0.96, highlighting their superior offensive organisation. In midfield control, Democratic Rep Congo recovers the ball 14.3 times per game on average, with a transition speed of 5.2 seconds per possession, 1.1 seconds faster than Benin. Physically, Democratic Rep Congo leads in high-intensity sprint distance (128 km/h) and total running distance (112km). Democratic Rep Congo's defensive statistics are more dominant, with an average of 17.3 combined tackles and interceptions, 4.2 more than Benin. Their clearance success rate of 81.3% is higher than Benin's 73.5%. Offensively, their xG conversion rate of 0.89, coupled with an 86% chance conversion rate, overwhelms Benin's 0.62 xG and 54% conversion rate. The expected total goals of 1.51 (Democratic Rep Congo 1.34 + Benin 0.67) is significantly below the over/under threshold of 2 goals. Democratic Rep Congo has kept a clean sheet in 8 of their 10 previous encounters, while Benin has managed only 10 shots on target in their last 15 matches, suggesting attacking struggles. Considering the overall offensive and defensive efficiencies and their control of the game's rhythm, the recommendation is Under 2 Goals.
*For reference only, not betting advice
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