A detailed analysis of the AFC Champions League 2 match between Al Hussein Irbid and FC Ahal at 21:45. Al Hussein Irbid demonstrates superior attacking precision, with a shot conversion rate of 18.5%, significantly higher than FC Ahal's 9.2%. Their expected goals (xG) efficiency is also superior (1.78 vs. 0.93), indicating a more effective attack. Key passing statistics also favour Al Hussein Irbid, with a higher key pass success rate (42% vs. 27%) and a greater value in passes within the final 30 meters (1.12 vs. 0.65). In terms of midfield control, Al Hussein Irbid averages 14 ball recoveries, four more than FC Ahal, and their transition speed is faster (5.3 seconds per recovery, compared to FC Ahal's 6.5 seconds). They also exhibit superior physical attributes, covering a total running distance (112.3km) and high-intensity sprints, both exceeding FC Ahal's by over 10%. Defensively, Al Hussein Irbid leads in tackles (19), interceptions (11), and clearances (14). Their interception success rate outside the penalty area is particularly high (78%), disrupting FC Ahal's counter-attacks. Al Hussein Irbid's chance conversion rate (32%) vastly outperforms FC Ahal's (19%), and they create significant xG value early in the match, with 0.89 in the first 15 minutes, constituting 64% of their total xG. Their finishing ability is evident, with two actual goals exceeding their expected goals of 1.78, while FC Ahal scored only one goal, with an xG of 0.93. Considering the shooting distribution of both teams (Al Hussein Irbid, 48% outside the box, and FC Ahal, 72% through the center), a decrease in the conversion rate of long-range shots under high-intensity pressure is expected, potentially limiting the total number of goals. Prediction: Under 3 goals.
*For reference only, not betting advice
Like
Comments
