In the Africa Cup of Nations, a match between Mali and Zambia is set to take place. Mali demonstrates a superior attacking efficiency, boasting a 12% shot conversion rate compared to Zambia's 8%. Their expected goals (xG) efficiency value of 1.15 suggests more precise shot selection. Mali's forward pass success rate is 68%, with a 22% conversion rate for key passes, constantly creating threats. Despite Zambia's 52% midfield possession, their transition is slow. Conversely, Mali initiates attacks within an average of 3 seconds after winning the ball in midfield, complemented by a team total of 110km in overall distance covered and 285 high-intensity sprints, effectively applying pressure. Deep defensive data analysis reveals Mali's higher efficiency: 15 interceptions per game, 4 more than Zambia, with an 83% clearance success rate and a 57% duel win rate. In attack, Mali's actual goals scored (1.8) significantly exceed their xG value (1.45), indicating an ability to score beyond expectations, while Zambia's xG of only 1.1 translates into 0.8 actual goals, exposing shortcomings in finishing. Expected goals comparison shows Mali with a 40% effective shot ratio within the penalty area, completely controlling the match's rhythm. Comprehensive data confirms Mali's all-around advantage. The recommendation is under 2 goals.