This analysis focuses on the upcoming La Liga match between Elche and Rayo Vallecano, concentrating on the crucial area of set-pieces: corners, free-kicks, and aerial duels. These situations often dictate the outcome of closely contested matches, and understanding their potential impact is vital for accurate prediction. **Elche’s Set-Piece Strength:** While recent form might suggest otherwise, Elche needs to exploit their set-piece opportunities. Examining their past matches, we look for trends. We analyze corner kick conversion rates (goals scored from corners), free-kick goal frequency, and the success rate of aerial duels won in their penalty area. Elche’s ability to convert corners will be key, and success in aerial duels will be crucial to stopping Rayo Vallecano. We need to analyze which players are most active in these phases, and evaluate their efficiency in these phases. **Rayo Vallecano’s Set-Piece Dynamics:** Rayo Vallecano's set-piece strategy will also be under the microscope. We'll delve into their corner kick delivery patterns (short corners, inswinging crosses, etc.), the targets they prefer in the box, and their overall effectiveness in converting these opportunities into goals. Furthermore, we’ll assess how well they defend against set pieces. High numbers of fouls conceded near the box may be a sign of their issues here. **Injury Impact:** Rayo Vallecano has multiple injuries which can affect their performance. Their absence can alter the team's balance, potentially weakening their aerial presence or set-piece delivery. It is very likely Elche will try to exploit this fact. **Match Prediction Rationale:** Based on these factors, the prediction leans towards Elche to win. Elche’s home advantage and set-piece aptitude, alongside the Rayo Vallecano injury issues, give them a slight edge. The over/under prediction is for Under goals, reflecting the importance of both teams to avoid conceding. The Asian Handicap favours Elche. This analysis combines an understanding of historical data with a keen eye for current form and tactical nuances, offering a comprehensive assessment of the match.

*For reference only, not betting advice
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