Super Coppa Italiana Showdown: Napoli and AC Milan Face Off in a Tactical Battle

Napoli, currently ranked third, has shown strong performance this season, with 10 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses in 15 matches. They are particularly dominant at home, winning 6 and drawing 1 of their 7 league games. This reflects solid defence combined with a sharp attack, averaging 3 goals per game. AC Milan, in second place, has also performed well, leading with 9 wins, 5 draws, and 1 loss, demonstrating a strong squad balance. In terms of ball possession, Napoli averages 61.3% compared to AC Milan's 58.7%, but their pass completion rate of 69.8% is slightly less than AC Milan's 71.2%. AC Milan's defensive statistics are superior, with an average of 14.7 interceptions, 12.3 tackles, and 18.5 clearances, compared to Napoli's 12.4 interceptions, 10.1 tackles, and 16.2 clearances. Napoli's offensive efficiency is higher, creating 3.2 big chances per 90 minutes, while AC Milan creates 2.7. Napoli averages 12.4 key passes per game, more than AC Milan's 10.9. The expected goals (xG) comparison indicates that Napoli's home xG is 1.82, while AC Milan's away xG is 1.55, with a total of 4.37, which is far more than the actual goal line. However, considering the fact that there have been three clean sheets in their last five meetings, there is a significant deviation in actual goal conversion. Prediction: Under 2.25 goals.

*For reference only, not betting advice
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