Napoli's recent form has been inconsistent, with only four victories in their last ten matches. Their previous loss highlighted vulnerabilities, and key players are sidelined due to injuries, impacting their squad depth. AC Milan, in contrast, has shown more stability, securing five wins in their last ten games. Although they drew in their last match, they remain unbeaten and also face injury concerns, with some important players unavailable. Napoli's recent league performance shows a record of four wins, three draws, and three losses in their last ten matches, with a 40% win rate. Their recent 0-1 loss to Udinese exposed attacking inefficiencies and defensive weaknesses due to injuries to key players like central defenders and goalkeepers, putting their overall squad depth to the test. AC Milan has a record of five wins, four draws, and one loss in their last ten matches, with a 50% win rate. Despite ending their winning streak with a 2-2 draw against Sassuolo, they maintained an unbeaten run and have performed strongly away from home, with minimal impact from injuries, with only a few rotational players missing. The Asian handicap initially opened at a level playing field, with the home side's odds often above 0.90. For instance, the initial odds might have been 0.90 for a home win and 0.88 for a draw. However, the odds shifted, with the away side's odds dropping significantly to around 0.80, and the home side's rising to 0.98, clearly favouring the away team. The European odds are consistent, with the initial average for an away win at 2.78, which has now dropped to 2.69. Several external sources have lowered the odds for an away win to 2.65, while the odds for a draw have increased from 3.23 to 3.03, and the odds for a home win have risen to 2.80, reflecting the increasing interest in an away win. The total goals opened with an over 2-2.5 at odds of 0.95, which has since increased to 1.06, while the under has dropped to 0.82, suggesting a preference for fewer goals, but the focus remains on the match outcome. In their head-to-head history, the two teams have an even record of two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five encounters, but AC Milan has a better unbeaten record away from home. Considering the fundamental aspects, the away team is in better form and has ample numerical support. It is advisable to consider the away team to remain unbeaten. Prediction: AC Milan -0, Score: 1-2, 2-2.
*For reference only, not betting advice
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