Cuiaba's recent home form has been impressive in the Brazil Serie B, with a record of 10 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses in their last 15 home matches, placing them third in the league. However, they suffered a 0-1 defeat to Novorizontino in their last home game, ending a three-match unbeaten run. Coritiba, the league leaders, have demonstrated consistent performance, recently defeating Goiania and Botafogo SP. However, their away record shows only 2 wins in their last 5 matches, with some defensive vulnerabilities. The initial Asian handicap odds opened with Cuiaba at home, receiving a flat-ball handicap at mid-high water value (Cuiaba 1.04/Coritiba 0.84). The odds have remained consistent, but the home win water value has slightly increased to 1.05, while the away water value has decreased to 0.85. Coritiba, as the league leader, has a more stable overall performance. Their away record is 7 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses (averaging 0.67 goals conceded per game), which ranks first in Brazil Serie B. In contrast, Cuiaba, despite their strong home form, lost to Novorizontino and their win rate in the last 6 rounds is only 33%. European odds show the home win average increasing from an initial 2.33 to 2.40, while the away win average decreased from 3.10 to 3.00, with a similar decrease in the draw value. Notably, several initial home win Kelly index values exceeded 0.95 (risk alert), while the away win Kelly index values were generally in the 0.87-0.93 range, indicating the market is more cautious about the away team taking points. In their historical encounters, Coritiba has a record of 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 meetings, but has remained unbeaten in their two away games (1 win, 1 draw). Recommendation: Coritiba PR +0.25 1-1 2-2