Faroe Islands' recent form has been inconsistent. While they showcased attacking potential with a four-goal victory over Montenegro, their defence faltered against stronger teams like Croatia. Their home performances in the qualifying rounds have been better than their away games. However, they have a poor head-to-head record against Czech Republic, losing all four previous encounters with an average of over 2.5 goals conceded per match, putting them at a psychological disadvantage. Czech Republic, despite their overall strength, have failed to score in their last two matches. Their away record is relatively stable, with only one loss in their last five away games against Croatia. Czech Republic's recent high draw rate and potential decline in attacking efficiency could affect their ability to break through defences. If Faroe Islands employ a counter-attacking strategy like their previous match, they might create surprises. Both teams have different motivations: the home team seeks to gain points, while the away team needs to address its offensive struggles to maintain their qualification chances. Czech Republic has a strong head-to-head record but has shown signs of offensive fatigue. Faroe Islands' recent four-goal victory shows the sharpness of their counter-attacks. Data indicates that Czech Republic has only scored more than one goal in one of their last five away games. The absence of their key midfielder also impacts their ability to organise attacks. In contrast, Faroe Islands have kept clean sheets in two of their last three home games, suggesting their home defence is underestimated. The odds for an away win have increased, reflecting a cooled market expectation for a big Czech Republic win. Faroe Islands has managed to hold their own in three of their last five home games against strong opponents, showing their psychological resilience. Czech Republic's recent double-duty schedule may result in fatigue. The current Asian handicap is at a reasonable level, balancing the heat generated by Czech Republic's ranking advantage with the recognition of Faroe Islands' home resilience. Considering both teams' recent offensive and defensive performances, the match might be a tight contest. Faroe Islands are expected to cover the handicap with their solid defence. Faroe Islands +1.25
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