Seongnam FC's recent form has been inconsistent, with three wins, one draw, and two losses in their last six matches. Their two-match winning streak was snapped by a 1-0 away loss to Bucheon FC. Currently eighth in the league, they are only three points away from the promotion play-off zone, indicating strong motivation. Incheon United, despite leading the table, have struggled recently, managing only two wins, two draws, and two losses in their last six games. They are winless in their last two matches, following a 1-1 draw against Suwon Samsung Bluewings, and have lost their last two away games. Historically, Seongnam FC has a slight edge over Incheon United, winning three and losing two of their last five encounters. They also secured a 2-1 comeback victory in the first match of this season, giving them a psychological advantage. From a data perspective, the initial Asian handicap opened with Incheon United as favourites, at a quarter-goal handicap with medium-high water. However, this has shifted to a quarter-goal handicap with high water, and Seongnam FC’s water value has increased. This suggests diminishing confidence in the league leaders. Combining the team’s performances with the data trends, Incheon United's away form has declined, with an average of 1.5 goals conceded per game. Seongnam FC, in contrast, has a solid home defence, conceding only one goal in their last three home matches. The initial shallow handicap reflects concerns about Incheon United’s form, and the subsequent increase in water values further indicates a lack of confidence. View recommendation: Seongnam FC +0.25 1-1 2-2

Comments